Past Session
Monday, October 27, 2025
17:30h
Presented by
Guillermo Woo-Mora (Paris School of Economics)
https://woomora.github.io/

Moral Force, Contagious Force: Partisanship, Populist Leadership, and Public Health Compliance during COVID-19

Abstract

How does partisan alignment with a populist leader shape compliance with public health measures? During Mexico’s COVID-19 campaign, the president publicly undermined preventive guidelines even as his administration promoted them. Using precinct-level mobility data and a novel shift-share IV, we show that support for the president’s party increased mobility, infections, and deaths. A calibrated epidemiological model indicates that partisan divergence explains most of the infection gap. The evidence supports a supply-side mechanism in which elite cues—rather than fixed partisan traits—shape compliance during crises. Our findings highlight how populist leaders influence public health through policy, symbolic, and rhetorical authority.

About this workshop

The Public Governance workshop is an online seminar series focused on state of art research in political economy that uses non-traditional data and data-intensive methods.

The workshop gives a platform for the research on the role of governance in designing and developing better policies. Key features are the political environment, the role of the media, the engagement of stakeholders such as civil society and firms, the market structure and level of competition, and the independence of public regulators, among others. Particular emphasis is placed on research with NLP methods due to the proven usefulness of transforming text into data for further econometric analysis.

Periodicity: Mondays from 17h30 to 19h.